South Korea’s Military in Crisis: Could Humiliated Soldiers Spark a Coup Against President Yoon?

Dec. 7, 2024

SEOUL — The fallout from President Yoon Suk-yeol's alleged illegal declaration of martial law continues to roil South Korea, with alarming reports of discontent brewing within the military ranks. Special Warfare Command soldiers, who were deployed during the controversial operation, have expressed outrage over what they perceive as scapegoating by their superiors. Their grievances, combined with the broader political instability gripping the nation, raise a chilling question: could this military discontent escalate into a coup against the embattled president?

Special forces operatives deployed under the illegal martial law at the National Assembly on 3, Dec. 2024 


"We’re Being Made the Rebels": Soldiers Speak Out

Special forces operatives deployed under the alleged illegal martial law have reportedly been left feeling betrayed and humiliated. Soldiers claim that higher-ups are attempting to absolve themselves of responsibility by shifting the blame to lower-ranking troops.

“We are being made into the rebels,” one soldier told MBN News, voicing frustrations that the chain of command failed to protect them from public condemnation. On the ground, soldiers were labeled "rebels" by civilians who viewed their deployment as an unconstitutional power grab.

This internal discord is compounded by reports that the Special Warfare Command’s leadership, including Commander Kwak Jong-geun, denies prior knowledge of the martial law orders. Such statements have further fueled perceptions of scapegoating within the ranks.

Military Discontent as a Trigger for Coup Potential

Historically, military coups often arise from a mix of perceived betrayal by civilian leadership and broader institutional humiliation. In South Korea, where the military has a complicated history of authoritarian rule and a more recent tradition of professional subservience to civilian authority, these developments are deeply unsettling.

The current crisis raises key questions:

  1. Young Soldiers as Catalysts: Could junior officers and enlisted soldiers, emboldened by their shared grievances, bypass the traditional hierarchy to organize a coup? History shows that disillusioned and mobilized young soldiers have sometimes been the driving force behind coups in other nations.
  2. Institutional Rifts: The public distancing of Army Headquarters and top brass from the Special Warfare Command’s actions during the martial law declaration could deepen divisions, potentially creating an environment conducive to military insubordination.
  3. Erosion of Civilian Control: If the military perceives civilian leadership as illegitimate or untrustworthy, particularly in light of allegations of illegal orders, the foundation of democratic civilian control over the armed forces could be at risk.

A History Lesson: Coups in Fragile Democracies

South Korea’s democracy has evolved significantly since the military dictatorships of the 20th century, but its institutions remain vulnerable. The illegal martial law and the failure of impeachment proceedings underscore systemic weaknesses that could be exploited by opportunistic actors within the military.

Comparisons to nations that experienced military coups reveal troubling parallels:

  • Public Frustration with Civilian Leadership: Widespread dissatisfaction with Yoon’s administration—already accused of corruption and authoritarian tendencies—has eroded public trust.
  • Institutional Instability: The inability of the National Assembly to check executive overreach through impeachment reflects a failure of democratic safeguards.
  • Military Discontent: Soldiers feeling humiliated and betrayed are often the first sparks in the tinderbox of a coup.

What Happens Next?

If discontent within the ranks of the Special Warfare Command and other military units continues to fester, it could pose a direct challenge to Yoon’s administration. A coup, while not inevitable, is no longer an unthinkable scenario.

However, a military intervention would not solve South Korea’s deeper structural issues. Instead, it could plunge the nation into a cycle of authoritarianism and repression, undoing decades of hard-fought democratic progress. The alternative is for civilian institutions to act swiftly to restore public trust, hold leaders accountable, and rebuild confidence within the military.

Liberal Perspective: The Failure of Neoliberal Governance

From a far-left viewpoint, this crisis exposes the inherent contradictions of a neoliberal governance model that prioritizes elite stability over popular sovereignty. Yoon’s administration, steeped in corruption and authoritarian tendencies, has sacrificed the wellbeing of the working class, youth, and even the military—often hailed as the defenders of the state.

The military discontent, while alarming, is a symptom of broader systemic failures. It is not simply a question of removing Yoon but of dismantling the oligarchic structures that have allowed such abuses of power to fester.

A Nation on the Brink

As South Korea grapples with this crisis, the stakes could not be higher. Will the country find a way to heal the fractures between its democratic institutions and its military, or will it descend into deeper chaos? The path chosen in the coming days will define South Korea’s political future—and serve as a cautionary tale for democracies worldwide.

The voices of betrayed soldiers and a frustrated populace echo loudly: South Korea stands at a crossroads, with its democracy hanging in the balance. The world is watching, and the consequences of inaction could reverberate far beyond the Korean Peninsula.

 


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