Column: The Desperate Gambit of a Failing Leader - Yoon Seok-yul's Path to Martial Law and Potential Downfall

 September 10, 2024

As the approval ratings of South Korean President Yoon Seok-yul continue to plummet, he has resorted to a desperate and reckless plan to declare martial law and stage a pro-government coup. This move is eerily reminiscent of the ill-fated attempt by Romanian dictator Nicolae Ceaușescu to cling to power in the face of mounting protests and opposition.

Ceaușescu's story is a cautionary tale of the dangers of authoritarianism and the consequences of ignoring the will of the people. His regime was marked by brutal suppression of dissent, corruption, and nepotism, and ultimately ended in his downfall and execution. Yoon Seok-yul would do well to study this history lesson, but it seems he is too blinded by his own ambition and arrogance to learn from the past.

The parallels between Ceaușescu's Romania and Yoon's South Korea are striking. Both leaders have relied on a loyalist security apparatus to maintain their grip on power, and both have shown a callous disregard for the welfare and rights of their citizens. Yoon's appointment of high school alumni to key military positions is a clear attempt to consolidate his power and create a loyalist faction within the military.

But as Ceaușescu's fate demonstrates, this strategy is ultimately doomed to fail. The military is not a reliable instrument of repression, and when the people rise up against a corrupt and authoritarian regime, the military will ultimately side with the people. Yoon's plan to declare martial law and stage a self-coup is a recipe for disaster, and it is likely to end in his downfall and potential execution.

The Romanian example also highlights the role of the security apparatus in propping up a failing regime. Ceaușescu's secret police, the Sekuritate, were notorious for their brutality and corruption, and they played a key role in suppressing dissent and opposition. Similarly, Yoon's reliance on the prosecutors' organization to protect his regime and silence his critics is a clear attempt to create a similar apparatus of repression.

But as the Romanian experience shows, this strategy is ultimately self-defeating. The people will not be silenced, and the military will not be loyal to a regime that is seen as corrupt and illegitimate. Yoon's plan to declare martial law and stage a coup is a desperate attempt to cling to power, but it is ultimately a fast-track path to his own downfall.

The Ceausescu regime collapsed in December 1989, following the pro-democracy movements and bloody crackdowns in Timişoara and Bucharest. In Timişoara, Pastor László Tőkés (1952 - ), who was leading a pro-democracy movement against the human rights abuses and ethnic discrimination of the Ceaușescu dictatorship, was arrested by the police (also known as the Rev. ) on December 17, 1989, against the arrest of Hungarian Protestants, turned into a broader anti-government protest as Romanian workers and peasants joined the demonstrations. The Ceausescu regime trampled on the human rights of the people with state violence, as police opened fire on the demonstrators, causing many casualties. Ceausescu, who was visiting Iran at the time, hastily returned home.

Tanks and Miliţia on the Magheru Boulevard in Bucharest, during the Romanian Revolution of 1989

At 12:30 on December 21, in an attempt to calm down the protests, CeauÈ™escu called a rally in his favor, gathering 100,000 people on the balcony of the People's Palace, where he began to give a speech, which, of course, had nothing to do with the economy and everything to do with why they should support him, but when a young protester at the back of the crowd suddenly booed, the crowd in front of him began to boo a little bit, and then the whole crowd booed in unison, as if they had been waiting for it. CeauÈ™escu said, “Everyone, be quiet!” but the whole thing was broadcast live. Soon, the crowd turned into a mob of protesters against CeauÈ™escu's dictatorship, and CeauÈ™escu and his family were evacuated to the Central Committee building, fearing for their lives.

Ceaușescu decides that the police alone will not be enough and calls in the regular army, but the regular army joins the protesters. The opposition, the military, had a lot of grievances against Ceauşescu because he had always favored the Sekuritate (Ceauşescu's secret police, the equivalent of prosecutors in South Korea's current prosecutorial dictatorship), and they wanted to use this protest as an opportunity to get rid of Ceauşescu and the Sekuritate. Unsurprisingly, the military turned their guns on the Ceaușescu family, not the citizens, and even members of the Romanian Communist Party, who had been marginalized from power by Ceaușescu's nepotism, expelled him from the Communist Party, and the people and the military united to put him on trial.

Ceaușescu ordered the Securitate (secret police) to stop the demonstrators, and the situation in the square was disastrous: crowds clashed with the military police, and hundreds were arrested. General Victor Stanculescu, who did not want to be associated with Ceauşescu, refused to become defense minister, even wearing a fake cast on his left leg, but was highly recommended by Elena Ceauşescu, the second in the power hierarchy within the Romanian Communist Party, who was assassinated by the Securitate (secret police) for refusing Ceauşescu's order to open fire on the people.

The pro-democracy protests spread across Romania. In the midst of extreme chaos, on December 22, the day after the protests, the National Front, formed by government troops and police who had joined the Romanian people's pro-democracy movement, took control of broadcasting stations and much of the capital, and engaged in a firefight with the pro-Caesar Sekuritate (secret police). The Sekuritate gave in to the protesters and abandoned protection of the Central Committee building. The then-defense minister, Victor Stanculescu, ordered the troops to stop helping Ceaușescu and return to their units, but he allowed soldiers to participate in the pro-democracy protests, so they joined the protesters in large numbers, and the size of the protest grew exponentially, with some soldiers at the rank of colonel and higher.

Realizing that no one was on their side, CeauÅŸescu and his wife escaped Bucharest by helicopter from the roof of their building, temporarily avoiding the angry masses. At the time, the couple reportedly planned to flee to the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, but Lieutenant Colonel Vasili Marutan, who was piloting the helicopter in which CeauÅŸescu was riding, did not want to be associated with CeauÅŸescu and waved the helicopter around, lying about coming under anti-aircraft fire. The couple exited the helicopter and Lt. Col. Vasili Marutan returned to his post. Unable to escape by helicopter, CeauÅŸescu instructed the driver to flee, but the driver, not wanting to be associated with CeauÅŸescu, lied that the engine had burned out and let CeauÅŸescu off. The second time the driver picked CeauÅŸescu up, he secretly sent the couple to the Agricultural Museum. A peasant who lived near the Agricultural Museum tipped off the revolutionary police by locking the room where CeauÅŸescu was staying from the outside. On December 23, the couple was arrested by the revolutionary police and brought before a military court.

The revolutionary government had been discussing a trial against the couple for some time, but claimed that “if it went wrong, CeauÅŸescu's supporters would revolt against him.” On December 25, the couple was sentenced to death for treason and murder in a people's court by a military tribunal of the Old National Front.

Even CeauÅŸescu's lawyer, Carlo, turned prosecutor, saying, “I'm supposed to take your side, but look at what you've done to this country. You think taking your side will solve the problem? See with your own eyes. No one with common sense can deny that you have brought this country, Romania, to the brink of destruction, no matter how much it is explained in your favor. In all my years as a lawyer, I have represented many people, but I have never seen such a bad example as you, and I have given up on you.” CeauÈ™escu's insistence that he was doing everything he could for the people of Romania earned him the wrath of the judge.

Meanwhile, the riflemen have their guns ready to kill CeauÅŸescu, and they decide to select people to participate in his execution. Hundreds of people volunteer, but only three soldiers - Captain Ionel Boeru, Sergeant-Major Georghin Octavian, and Dorin-Marian Cîrlan - are chosen to carry out the execution. These three soldiers promised to prepare a total of 180 rounds of six-shot bullets to “beat the crap out of him,” and their units did not stop them or say anything.

When they were sentenced to death, CeauÈ™escu and his wife burst into tears, looked at the wall and shouted, “Death to traitors!” As the execution began, they began to sing “The International,” a favorite song of communist forces, but before they could finish a verse, the guns began to fire, and they were killed by more than 160 bullets each. CeauÈ™escu's execution was public and broadcast live.

Yun seems to have lost popularity within the military by ignoring the Marine Corps Chae Marine soldier’s accident and prosecuting the head of the Marine investigative unit investigating the cause of the accident for disobedience, and Yun also interfered with the drug investigation into the alleged involvement of Incheon Customs officers stationed at Incheon Airport in helping drug smugglers, and he destroyed the entire Korean economy by completely destroying the domestic economy, and he suddenly increased the capacity of the medical school to 2000 students without any reasonable measure in the name of healthcare reform. 

So, let us welcome Yoon Seok-yul's pro-war coup with open arms. It is a reckless and doomed attempt to cling to power, and it will ultimately end in his downfall and the restoration of democracy in South Korea. The people will not be silenced, and the military will not be loyal to a regime that is seen as corrupt and illegitimate. Yoon's fate is sealed, and it is only a matter of time before he meets the same end as Ceaușescu.


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