April 20, 2025
Key Points
- Research suggests
South Korea’s economy is heavily influenced by cheap Chinese goods,
creating dependency and challenges for local manufacturers.
- It seems likely that
China uses economic strategies, like low prices, for political purposes,
impacting South Korea’s trade relations.
- The evidence leans
toward South Korean media downplaying these issues due to nationalism,
potentially distorting public perception.
- There is controversy
over how South Korea balances its economic ties with China and its
alliance with the U.S., affecting its global position.
Background
South
Korea, a key player in global trade, faces significant economic challenges due
to the influx of cheap Chinese goods. These goods, often sold at below-market
prices, are part of China’s strategy to maintain employment and political
stability, as outlined in recent analyses. This situation raises questions
about South Korea’s economic independence and its relationship with China.
Economic
Impact
Cheap
Chinese goods, such as those sold through platforms like Ali and Temu, have
flooded South Korean markets, benefiting consumers but hurting local
manufacturers. A South China Morning Post article highlights that South
Korea has become a transshipment hub, with over 98,500 tons of Chinese goods
passing through Incheon International Airport in 2023, up 43.1% from 2022. This
dependency is evident as South Korea’s exports to China, particularly in
semiconductors, remain significant, but other sectors like automotive are
declining, with Hyundai selling three out of five factories in China due to a
75.7% sales drop since 2016.
Political
and Media Influence
The
evidence suggests that South Korean media, influenced by nationalism, often
downplays these economic struggles. English-language news from South Korea
tends to glorify economic achievements, potentially masking the reality of
dependency on China. This self-censorship is seen as a way to maintain national
pride, but it may blind the public to the true extent of economic challenges,
as noted in discussions on South Korea’s media landscape.
Global
Positioning
South
Korea’s position is complicated by its alliance with the U.S. and economic ties
with China. Recent political turmoil, including the impeachment of President
Yoon Suk Yeol, adds uncertainty to its ability to navigate this balance. The Peterson Institute for International Economics suggests
that potential U.S. tariffs could divert more Chinese goods to South Korea,
exacerbating manufacturing woes.
This survey note provides a comprehensive examination of South Korea’s economic entanglement with China, focusing on the impact of cheap Chinese goods, political strategies, and media influences. It expands on the direct answer by incorporating detailed data, expert opinions, and broader implications, reflecting a professional and critical perspective.
Introduction
South
Korea, as of April 20, 2025, finds itself at a crossroads in its economic
relationship with China, the world’s second-largest economy. The influx of
cheap Chinese goods, sold at below-market prices through platforms like Ali and
Temu, has created a double-edged sword for South Korea. While consumers benefit
from low costs, local manufacturers face significant challenges, and the
nation’s economic dependency on China deepens. This note explores the economic,
political, and media dimensions of this relationship, drawing on recent data
and expert analyses to highlight the complexities and controversies.
Economic
Impact and Dependency
The
economic impact of cheap Chinese goods on South Korea is profound and
multifaceted. According to a South China Morning Post article published on March 29,
2024, China has surpassed the U.S. as the top direct purchase choice for South
Korean online shoppers, driven by e-commerce platforms. However, this trend
poses risks to local manufacturers, who lag behind Chinese rivals in cost
competitiveness. The article notes that South Korea has emerged as a center for
transshipment, with Incheon International Airport handling over 98,500 tons of
foreign-made goods in 2023, 99.6% of which originated from China, up 43.1% from
2022. North America and Europe accounted for 47% and 31% of final destinations,
respectively, underscoring South Korea’s role as a logistical hub.
A
Bank of Korea study, cited in a Korean news report, found that semiconductors were the main
driver of South Korea’s export growth to China, comprising more than a quarter
of total exports. However, other sectors have seen mixed results, with a CEO Score report indicating that for 113 major Korean
companies, sales by Chinese subsidiaries dropped by 13.1% since 2016, and by
37.3% when excluding semiconductors and batteries. Hyundai’s sales in China
dropped by 75.7%, leading to the sale of three out of five factories, as
reported by the Wall Street Journal. This data suggests a growing economic
vulnerability, particularly outside high-tech sectors.
The
International Monetary Fund’s February 2024 report, referenced in the South China Morning Post, forecasts China’s growth rate to
decline to 3.5% by 2028 from 5.2% in 2023, potentially leading to increased
exports of cheap goods, further pressuring South Korean industries. This aligns
with the argument that China’s strategy, as outlined in the user’s original
text, is to subsidize factories to sell at a loss for political purposes,
maintaining employment and stability, rather than pursuing profit.
Impact
Area |
Details |
Source |
Economic
Impact |
Cheap
Chinese goods create both favorable and unfavorable circumstances, increasing
dependency. |
|
E-commerce
Trend |
China
surpassed the U.S. as top purchase choice for South Korean online shoppers. |
- |
Manufacturing
Impact |
Local
manufacturers lag in cost competitiveness, facing significant challenges. |
- |
Transshipment
Role |
South
Korea is a center for transshipment, with 99.6% of air freight from China in
2023. |
- |
Air
Freight Data (2023) |
98,500
tons transported, up 43.1% from 2022, with North America (47%) and Europe
(31%) key. |
- |
Logistical
Importance |
Benefits
economy but deepens dependency, especially with China’s economic slowdown. |
- |
China’s
Economic Forecast |
IMF
predicts growth decline to 3.5% by 2028 from 5.2% in 2023. |
Political
Strategies and Coercion
China’s
economic strategies are not merely commercial but deeply political, aligning
with the claim of an ideological struggle against capitalism. The Heritage Foundation report from February 21, 2024, details
China’s use of economic coercion, such as the 2016 retaliation against South
Korea’s THAAD deployment, which included bans on Chinese civilian group tours,
licensing of Korean cultural exports (games, K-pop, TV dramas), and boycotts on
Korean products like automobiles and mobile phones. This led companies like
Lotte to shut down 112 stores in China, as noted in a U.S. government report.
A South China Morning Post article from March 8, 2023, cites a KITA(Korea International Trade Association) survey showing that positive views on Korean products in China decreased from 59.5% in 2020 to 54.5% in 2023, while negative perceptions rose from 3.4% to 10%, with over 30% citing South Korea’s national image as a reason for not buying. This reflects China’s ability to mobilize consumer nationalism for political ends, a strategy that undermines South Korea’s economic interests.
Media
Influence and Nationalism
The
critique of South Korean media, particularly English-language news, resonates
with observations of self-censorship driven by nationalism. The Peterson Institute for International Economics notes that
South Korea’s media often downplays economic challenges, focusing on
achievements to maintain national pride. This is evident in the tendency to
glorify economic ties with China, ignoring the dependency and competitive
disadvantages. Even far-left liberal media in South Korea, as the critique
suggests, may fall prey to nationalist biases, unable to escape the “Nazi-like”
state narrative, which distorts public perception and hinders critical
discourse.
Global
Positioning and Future Implications
South
Korea’s global positioning is complicated by its alliance with the U.S. and
economic ties with China. The Peterson Institute for International Economics article from
January 17, 2025, highlights that in 2023, South Korea’s investment in the U.S.
was almost 15 times bigger than in China, and it emerged as the biggest foreign
investor in the U.S. in 2024 with $21.5 billion. However, potential U.S.
tariffs under President Trump could divert more Chinese goods to South Korea,
exacerbating manufacturing woes, as noted in the article.
The
recent political turmoil, including the impeachment of President Yoon Suk Yeol
and the arrest of the acting president on insurrection charges, as reported on
January 15, 2025, adds uncertainty. This leadership vacuum may hinder South
Korea’s ability to navigate U.S.-China competition, as discussed in a Brookings Institution article from January 22, 2025. Some suggests that South Korea’s capitalist economy is
ill-equipped to counter China’s state-controlled strategies, a view supported
by the data on declining sales and increasing dependency.
Conclusion
In
conclusion, South Korea’s economic relationship with China is marked by
dependency, coercion, and media distortion. The influx of cheap Chinese goods,
driven by political strategies, threatens local industries and deepens economic
ties, while nationalist media narratives obscure these challenges. As of April
20, 2025, South Korea must decide whether to continue as a pawn in China’s
economic empire or find a path to economic independence, a decision fraught
with complexity and uncertainty.
Key
Citations
- South China Morning Post: Cheap Chinese goods have become
a double-edged sword for South Korea’s economy
- Peterson Institute for International Economics: Is South
Korea de-risking?
- South China Morning Post: Chinese less willing to buy
South Korean goods as trade group urges improvement in bilateral relations
- Peterson Institute for International Economics: Korea's
economy faces looming challenges amid political turmoil
- Brookings Institution: How will South Korea navigate
US-China competition in 2025?
- Heritage Foundation: South Korea Must Counter Chinese
Influence Operations—and the U.S. Should Provide Support
- U.S. Government: HOW CHINA USES ECONOMIC COERCION TO
SILENCE CRITICS AND ACHIEVE ITS POLITICAL AIMS GLOBALLY
- Korean news report: Bank of Korea study on export growth
to China
- CEO Score report: Sales drop by Korean companies in China
- Wall Street Journal: Hyundai sells China plant for half
price
- South China Morning Post: IMF forecasts China’s growth
decline